Wednesday 25
scale issues - sampling
tbd
› 16:45 - 17:00 (15min)
› Coriolis
Stochastic simulation of high resolution rain fields: application to assess gauge-based rainfall uncertainty in a land surface model implemented over the AMMA-CATCH Niger observatory.
Theo Vischel  1, *@  , Jerome Demarty, Bernard Cappelaere, D Feurer@
1 : Laboratoire d'étude des transferts en hydrologie et environnement  (LTHE)  -  Website
Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble (INPG), Université Joseph Fourier - Grenoble I, INSU, OSUG, CNRS : UMR5564, Institut de recherche pour le développement [IRD] : UR012
ENSHMG - Domaine Universitaire 1023-1025 Rue de la piscine - BP 53 38041 GRENOBLE CEDEX 9 -  France
* : Corresponding author

Producing high resolution rainfields is a key element in several domains: (i) studying the climatology of rainfall at fine space-time scales, (ii) modelling the hydrological processes on the continental surface since hydrologic, agronomic or Soil-Vegetation-Atmosphere-Transfers models require high resolution forcing rain fields as input, (iii) calibrating/validating satellite rainfall algorithms. The relevant resolutions for these various purposes may be as fine as 1 km in space and 5 minutes in time to resolve the convective scale.

A statistico-dynamic method is proposed to simulate rainfields at fine time steps (~5 minutes) conditionned by point rain gauge measurements. The method combines (i) a geostatistical model simulating rainfields at the event time step with (ii) a lagrangian kriging interpolation that is used to disaggregate the event rainfield down to 5 minutes time steps. Rainfields are stochastically simulated over the AMMA-CATCH Niger observatory reproducing satisfactorily the main space-time characteristics of the Sahelian rainy systems. They are then used to assess how rainfall uncertainty propagates into the Sethys-Savannah land surface model. The results show a strong sensitivity of the model outputs to rainfall uncertainty especially marked when considering the partitioning between infiltration and runoff.


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